Exotic-Medication
0x18429e1e5e105b33ea783ad02778e6a4aae80849
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-682.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?
23552 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-282.84
- YES
Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?
4020 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-39.66
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
3253 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-109.00
- YES
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?
1476 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-180.15
- YES
Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?
561 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?
420 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift hold less than 4 spots in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 for the week of November 1, 2025?
287 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?
278 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?
215 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
183 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNew Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?$18.20Jan 31, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?$31.62Jan 27, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump invokes War Powers against Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 27, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?$10.00Jan 27, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 27, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?$20.00Jan 27, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$40.30Jan 19, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$33.28Jan 15, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?$58.70Jan 11, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$58.70Jan 11, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?$42.08Jan 11, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?$80.35Jan 11, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?$20.63Jan 11, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?$81.10Jan 11, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$96.11Jan 9, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$100.00Jan 9, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia announce a Christmas truce?$180.15Dec 30, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMZelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?$0.00Dec 29, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?$90.00Dec 29, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?$16.74Dec 29, 07:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $46.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 12:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.