New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
Probability
5¢
1h
-0.4pp
24h
+0.8pp
24h Vol
$351.25
Liquidity
$5.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5993.5h
- 06:31SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5993h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 3¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 3¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 3¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.2pp
to 2¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.2pp
to 2¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.7pp
to 3¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.6pp
to 3¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.6pp
to 3¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.9pp
to 2¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.9pp
to 2¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 4¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares a new COVID pandemic other than COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).