Weekly-Daily-Committee
0x185eaffe73c99bcf03733fb06b518423547fc287
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$44.23
Total PnL
$-70.10
Realised
$-0.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
34 shares @ 13.2¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.61
$1.12
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 25.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$4.08
$0.08
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
25 shares @ 14.9¢·now 15.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.85
$0.13
- YES
Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
31 shares @ 14.6¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.41
$-1.12
- YES
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
42 shares @ 10.8¢·now 7.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.15
$-1.40
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
76 shares @ 8.0¢·now 3.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.81
$-3.27
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?
110 shares @ 3.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.35
$-1.67
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
38 shares @ 11.5¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.90
$-2.46
- YES
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
135 shares @ 3.1¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.82
$-2.34
- NO
No one announced as next James Bond?
71 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.60
$-0.27
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran successfully targets shipping by June 27?$3.10Jun 26, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping by June 27?$3.41Jun 26, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 26?$0.16Jun 26, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 26?$0.10Jun 26, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 26?$0.10Jun 26, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?$0.78Jun 25, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?$0.10Jun 25, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?$0.70Jun 25, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$4.18Jun 25, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 25?$1.35Jun 25, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?$0.00Jun 25, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 21?$0.00Jun 25, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 22?$0.00Jun 25, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 21?$0.00Jun 25, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 21?$0.00Jun 25, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 22?$0.00Jun 25, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$0.00Jun 25, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 21?$0.00Jun 25, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 22?$0.00Jun 25, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 22?$0.00Jun 25, 15:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 15:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 07:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.