Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?
Probability
53¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-5.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+13.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1572.5h
- 11:27SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1573h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:27PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 53¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 54¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 53¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 53¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 53¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 57¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 56¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 57¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 59¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 59¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 57¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 59¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 54¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 55¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 55¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 59¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.0pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 59¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 44¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 44¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 44¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 43¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (13.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).