Brave-Zampone
0x1862a1c7c3c6b303a657bb074dd72d4fc7a68b0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$150.34
Total PnL
$-46.50
Realised
$-0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
137 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$136.99
$36.99
- YES
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 78.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$12.25
$-26.75
- YES
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?
20 shares @ 14.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$-1.70
- YES
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
1050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
100 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
28 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 96.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-19.34
- YES
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
20 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-14.60
- YES
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
17 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$100.00Jun 3, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in June?$24.00Jun 3, 02:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.73Jun 3, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.54Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$20.81Jun 3, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$2.42Jun 2, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?$13.75Jun 2, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?$13.60Jun 2, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$39.68Jun 2, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$2.40Jun 2, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$40.50Jun 2, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?$14.00Jun 2, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?$14.50Jun 2, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$1.40Jun 2, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$1.00Jun 2, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$0.50Jun 2, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?$0.96Jun 2, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?$27.05Jun 2, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?$18.50Jun 2, 11:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $12.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 08:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 02:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.