Athletic-Compensation
0x187f060357c61ba5eadf65e3a288aa2869b9c40c
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$35.55
Total PnL
$-385.95
Realised
$-11.50
Win rate
0%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
30 shares @ 33.2¢·now 46.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.04
$4.04
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
345 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.19
$-0.81
- NO
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
7 shares @ 67.9¢·now 46.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.44
$-1.56
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
31 shares @ 15.9¢·now 8.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.81
$-2.19
- YES
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 3.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.89
$-4.11
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
872 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
448 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
435 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
346 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$5.21Aug 15, 14:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 5, 02:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 2, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$26.32Aug 1, 06:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 30, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 40 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
40 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $9.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 22:31 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 14:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.