Wrathful-Obsession
0x1881aa815212ba41dd2d9748aead19ded3e2f322
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$429.39
Total PnL
$-76.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
1058 shares @ 5.2¢·now 21.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$231.07
$176.07
- NO
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
1134 shares @ 6.6¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.06
$-44.94
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1563 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$24.22
$-0.78
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2083 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$23.96
$-1.04
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1731 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.37
$6.06
- YES
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
4843 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.95
$-8.04
- YES
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
152 shares @ 23.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.98
$-19.02
- YES
Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
5971 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.93
$-15.07
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.44
$-0.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$18.00Jun 22, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$10.40Jun 22, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$10.40Jun 22, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$25.99Jun 22, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$25.98Jun 22, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$36.33Jun 22, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$36.08Jun 22, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$57.09Jun 22, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 22, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 22, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$60.64Jun 21, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$77.80Jun 21, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$25.95Jun 21, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$25.85Jun 21, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$25.99Jun 21, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$51.95Jun 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$31.19Jun 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$31.20Jun 21, 21:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $34.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 21:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 23:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.