Wrathful-Obsession
0x1881aa815212ba41dd2d9748aead19ded3e2f322
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$73.45
Total PnL
$-422.77
Realised
$-15.62
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1563 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$46.09
$21.09
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2083 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$13.54
$-11.46
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.44
$-0.55
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.38
$-5.62
- YES
Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.97
- YES
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
5971 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.99
- YES
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
4843 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
3561 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-58.34
- YES
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
2009 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1731 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-17.31
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Aug 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 5, 02:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 1, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.