OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Probability

33¢

+0.5pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$999.23

Liquidity

$27.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

-5.5pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 02:00Apr 25, 2026, 01:47

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 5998.2h
LOW
01:47Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5998h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
18:00Price
Probability down -3.5pp
to 32¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.5pp
to 34¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.5pp
to 34¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 4.5pp
to 35¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 33¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 33¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 33¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -6.5pp
to 35¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -6.5pp
to 35¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -6.5pp
to 35¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -13.5pp
to 32¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -13.5pp
to 32¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -12.0pp
to 32¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -11.0pp
to 32¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -13.5pp
to 32¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -12.0pp
to 34¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -12.0pp
to 34¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -9.5pp
to 34¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -9.5pp
to 34¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -9.5pp
to 34¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability down -10.5pp
to 33¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability down -16.5pp
to 33¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability down -15.5pp
to 33¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability down -13.0pp
to 35¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability down -11.5pp
to 35¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability down -13.0pp
to 35¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability down -11.0pp
to 35¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability down -14.0pp
to 35¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventNext UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Dec 31, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

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