Peaceful-Safeguard
0x189d1e0e2a628a47915838a747eba2493677981b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$634.90
Realised
$662.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
383 shares @ 73.2¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$315.65
$35.65
- NO
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
307 shares @ 88.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$287.18
$14.18
- NO
Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30?
261 shares @ 76.6¢·now 88.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$230.94
$30.94
- NO
Will Iran target Egypt by September 15, 2026?
211 shares @ 92.8¢·now 96.7¢·exp Sep 15, 2026$204.01
$8.01
- NO
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?
168 shares @ 78.5¢·now 85.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$142.89
$10.89
- NO
Israeli forces enter Choukine by August 31?
144 shares @ 89.5¢·now 89.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$128.28
$-0.72
- NO
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
159 shares @ 81.9¢·now 80.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$127.71
$-2.29
- NO
Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?
148 shares @ 83.5¢·now 80.5¢·exp Sep 15, 2026$119.50
$-4.50
- NO
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
163 shares @ 61.4¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$113.27
$13.27
- YES
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?
191 shares @ 50.3¢·now 35.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$67.79
$-28.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?$124.00Aug 19, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?$223.72Aug 19, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?$132.00Aug 19, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?$130.00Aug 19, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$261.35Aug 19, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?$0.90Aug 19, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran target Egypt by September 15, 2026?$196.00Aug 19, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?$195.73Aug 18, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?$140.00Aug 15, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces enter Tyre by August 31?$139.82Aug 15, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?$100.00Aug 14, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?$178.00Aug 14, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$278.50Aug 14, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?$133.00Aug 13, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$100.00Aug 13, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by August 15?$233.26Aug 13, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Stavky by September 30?$200.00Aug 10, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$194.00Aug 10, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$393.19Aug 10, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Choukine by August 31?$129.00Aug 8, 10:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $140.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 10:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 17:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.