Happy-Go-Lucky-Caliber
0x18b04ce72ad3cb43e6f880e6c5a54b0dbc6c2354
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$3.91
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$54.13
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
11 shares @ 39.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.91
$-0.51
- YES
US forces in Iran before August?
4906 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-124.74
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?
4785 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-364.84
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
3555 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-176.96
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
1758 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-366.75
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
724 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-267.78
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
718 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.73
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
450 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-24.30
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
350 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-12.95
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
274 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-167.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$4.42Apr 26, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$4.42Feb 28, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?$167.31Feb 21, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$27.49Feb 20, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$127.49Feb 20, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.17Feb 19, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.39Feb 19, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.42Feb 18, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$10.33Feb 9, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$8.80Feb 9, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$8.80Feb 9, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$11.32Jan 28, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$4.00Jan 28, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$4.98Jan 28, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?$9.72Jan 23, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$4.74Jan 22, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$5.37Jan 22, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$4.98Jan 21, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?$4.97Jan 21, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$17.32Jan 21, 02:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $11.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 16:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 13:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.