Normal-Motivation
0x18cda925145a03cd1650ad1036f6b152ece1d8d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$18.8K
Total PnL
$-113.43
Realised
$83.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3049 shares @ 91.5¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.0K
$214.82
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
3166 shares @ 93.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.0K
$-1.61
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
2590 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.5K
$54.36
- NO
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
1500 shares @ 95.1¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.5K
$33.75
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
1500 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$-7.50
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
1196 shares @ 95.8¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$8.95
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
1600 shares @ 70.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.1K
$-56.00
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
1105 shares @ 82.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$966.70
$57.60
- NO
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?
1000 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$885.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1000 shares @ 78.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$825.00
$45.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$151.00Jun 13, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$149.49Jun 13, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$149.49Jun 13, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$151.00Jun 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$9.13Jun 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.32Jun 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$5.15Jun 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.94Jun 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$7.76Jun 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.57Jun 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$5.26Jun 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$12.87Jun 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$25.06Jun 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$3.75Jun 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$5.94Jun 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$69.75Jun 13, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$151.00Jun 13, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$144.39Jun 13, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$5.10Jun 13, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$151.00Jun 13, 16:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $43.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 13:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.