Assured-Story
0x18d8deda9ff53721300464f01c70e77fc09940b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$91.57
Total PnL
$-119.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 19?
92 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$91.57
$1.37
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on January 28?
157 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on March 27?
133 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 23, 6PM ET
133 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS
San Jose State Spartans vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
117 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-7.03
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 20?
105 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.74
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 24?
105 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 26?
105 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
99 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on January 20?
99 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$3.70Apr 27, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?$29.27Apr 27, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?$26.53Apr 26, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 19?$0.24Apr 18, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 19?$89.96Apr 18, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 12?$112.14Apr 14, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 12?$110.57Apr 11, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 29?$118.23Apr 6, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMMississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars$0.00Mar 31, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?$2.44Mar 30, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on January 31?$0.00Mar 30, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 29?$115.51Mar 29, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 24?$0.00Mar 29, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on March 27?$2.13Mar 26, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 25?$98.75Mar 26, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 25?$97.17Mar 25, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on March 17?$1.58Mar 17, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$44.54Feb 27, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$44.54Feb 27, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMStetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governors$20.27Feb 27, 07:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $42.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 14:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 23:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.