Unfortunate-Dragster
0x18ed8803f9ba705b25db86a058c4e624d627d299
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$1.72
Total PnL
$-550.30
Realised
$-42.00
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
100 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.85
$-1.45
- YES
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
12 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.01
$-0.99
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
6718 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-62.06
- YES
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
2213 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-102.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?
413 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?
222 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-46.91
- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2.30Jun 4, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$2.00May 14, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$4.38May 8, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 8, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$7.21May 8, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 8, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$9.22May 8, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$8.48May 8, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 8, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 8, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$57.16May 8, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$30.00May 8, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$30.00May 8, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$65.74May 8, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 15?$6.43May 8, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1.00May 5, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 4, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$5.00May 4, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$10.30May 4, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$11.52May 4, 16:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $14.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 08:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 17:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.