Doting-Fame
0x1928a2c891bf185309c7d8edb3a0d0f75f347c87
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$31.20
Total PnL
$-207.95
Realised
$27.12
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.55
$-0.44
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
666 shares @ 4.4¢·now 1.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$9.32
$-19.95
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
303 shares @ 3.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$6.21
$-3.79
- YES
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?
28 shares @ 17.7¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.81
$-1.19
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
52 shares @ 5.8¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.30
$-0.70
- NO
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
1179 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?
261 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
225 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-22.29
- NO
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?
125 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$15.59Aug 8, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$3.90Aug 8, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?$5.16Aug 8, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$2.85Aug 8, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$10.35Aug 8, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?$6.90Aug 8, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $120?$28.34Aug 7, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Sangal (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 16$0.15Aug 7, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Sangal (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 16$0.35Aug 7, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Sangal (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 16$0.50Aug 7, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Sangal (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 16$2.00Aug 7, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $120?$10.00Aug 7, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $120?$5.30Aug 7, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $120?$4.70Aug 7, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Sangal (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 16$1.60Aug 7, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Sangal (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 16$0.40Aug 7, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $120?$18.00Aug 7, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $120?$2.25Aug 7, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $120?$1.75Aug 7, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?$34.88Aug 7, 13:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 2, 14:38 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 21:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.