CryptoExpires Jan 1, 2027

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Probability

18¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$10.0K

Liquidity

$48.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 22:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:01
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 18¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 6011h with open resolution ambiguity.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 6011.0h

    LOW
  • 18:01Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 6011h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 18¢.

Biggest hourly move: +3.0pp at 2d ago (to 19¢).

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

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Same eventBitcoin all time high by ___?
Category · Crypto

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jan 1, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Binance spot pairExchange priceextracted · high
binance.com
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket