0x19337fd10c6fff197f5b5db1e116e2b10dc8b444
0x19337fd10c6fff197f5b5db1e116e2b10dc8b444
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$17.00
Total PnL
$-431.11
Realised
$0.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$17.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Marin Cilic win the 2026 Men's French Open?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2026 Men's French Open?
3000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Alexei Popyrin win the 2026 Men's French Open?
3000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Reilly Opelka win the 2026 Men's French Open?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 57 million views in week 1?
1119 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-24.70
- YES
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
668 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-105.41
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?
200 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-7.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5) AND Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)$25.38Jul 28, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. New York Mets AND Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres$13.39Jul 28, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Athletics AND Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays$12.38Jul 28, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds$11.34Jul 28, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins AND Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals$12.41Jul 28, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shelton AND Vancouver: Madison Brengle vs Alexandra Vagramov$23.32Jul 28, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$60.00Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$42.92Jul 19, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 1+ goals$20.32Jul 19, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$20.26Jul 19, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?$19.53Jul 15, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.47Jul 15, 18:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$104.69Jul 14, 15:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?$2.14Jul 12, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?$1.92Jul 12, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?$1.27Jul 12, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?$0.82Jul 12, 02:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $14.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 07:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 21:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.