Ecstatic-Dolman
0x194174b390d241cc945da895838c6eb6837cf9c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$22.78
Total PnL
$-767.74
Realised
$0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
393 shares @ 4.5¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.72
$-2.81
- YES
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?
16 shares @ 19.3¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.34
$0.34
- YES
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?
23 shares @ 13.1¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.97
$-0.03
- YES
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 25.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.75
$0.50
- YES
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-43.99
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?
1342 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?
650 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.60
- CURAÇAO
Spread: Curaçao (-1.5)
556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Cody Gakpo: 1+ assists
515 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-170.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
459 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-19.27
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.