0x1980a394d6d91d32d107ceb2a1b7adfe71db858e
0x1980a394d6d91d32d107ceb2a1b7adfe71db858e
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$48.40
Total PnL
$-7.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
310 shares @ 5.8¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.67
$-2.33
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.11
$0.11
- YES
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
21 shares @ 38.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$4.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$4.87
$-0.13
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
9 shares @ 52.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$5.37Jun 28, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-29?$5.31Jun 28, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$5.32Jun 28, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?$0.00Jun 28, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$11.11Jun 28, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$12.07Jun 28, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$13.16Jun 28, 05:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$0.00Jun 27, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$7.25Jun 27, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$5.42Jun 27, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$8.47Jun 27, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$5.31Jun 27, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$7.37Jun 27, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?$10.56Jun 27, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$5.28Jun 27, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$5.26Jun 27, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?$5.30Jun 27, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-06-26?$0.00Jun 27, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$34.48Jun 27, 05:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $18.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 03:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 06:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.