Creative-Vinegar
0x198874eebadfe0012d8471bbd8dd321740f2b617
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$9.50
Total PnL
$-45.72
Realised
$0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
7 shares @ 98.2¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.51
$-0.17
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
3 shares @ 95.1¢·now 94.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on January 9?
5272 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.27
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on February 25?
3170 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-7.39
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on December 16?
3102 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 4?
2161 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.32
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on December 16?
2063 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.06
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on April 27?
1071 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- YES
Will Solana dip to $80 on May 12?
1070 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 7?
1068 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 4?$2.13Jun 4, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,850 on May 22?$2.13May 23, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 20?$1.1KMay 21, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 20?$1.1KMay 21, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on May 20?$1.1KMay 20, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on May 20?$1.1KMay 20, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 19?$1.1KMay 20, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 19?$1.1KMay 20, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 19?$1.1KMay 19, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 19?$1.1KMay 19, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,850 on May 18?$1.1KMay 19, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,850 on May 18?$1.1KMay 19, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 18?$1.1KMay 18, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 18?$1.1KMay 18, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 17?$1.1KMay 18, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 17?$1.1KMay 18, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 17?$1.1KMay 17, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 17?$1.1KMay 17, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 on May 16?$1.1KMay 17, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 on May 16?$1.1KMay 17, 03:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $556.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 08:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 05:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".