Exemplary-Mission
0x199119ecdb8f17511ee05bf55a110d1fbe44425c
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$178.54
Total PnL
$-1.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Trump out as President by July 31?
174 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$173.96
$0.96
- NO
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 90.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.58
$-0.42
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$0.00Jul 24, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$16.03Jul 21, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$16.00Jul 14, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by July 31?$173.04Jul 14, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?$404.40Jul 1, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$8.01Jul 1, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?$5.01Jun 30, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$8.00Jun 23, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oura not IPO before January 2027?$5.00Jun 10, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?$404.02Jun 10, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $10 in May?$415.42Jun 1, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?$5.00May 30, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?$5.01May 30, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?$7.01May 30, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?$7.00May 10, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $10 in May?$415.03May 10, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$6.04May 10, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?$12.03May 10, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $200 in April?$405.75May 10, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?$12.00Apr 27, 07:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $206.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 11:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 21:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.