Quick-Fundraising
0x19974ce5980bae3d4c4d1a67cfce60c655492e36
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
169
Open notional
$26.4K
Total PnL
$-540.8K
Realised
$1.7K
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 169- NO
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
13272 shares @ 63.9¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.8K
$349.24
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4160 shares @ 83.2¢·now 95.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.0K
$516.19
- NO
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
3360 shares @ 85.2¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.2K
$385.42
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4523 shares @ 60.9¢·now 57.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.6K
$-174.14
- NO
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
2738 shares @ 80.2¢·now 94.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.6K
$377.09
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2461 shares @ 94.9¢·now 95.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.3K
$6.15
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
6185 shares @ 36.2¢·now 17.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4664 shares @ 10.2¢·now 12.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$576.00
$100.28
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
573 shares @ 80.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$458.11
$-0.29
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
302 shares @ 90.2¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$291.36
$19.16
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.53Jul 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.53Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.53Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.53Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.53Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.54Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.54Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.54Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.54Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.54Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.55Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.55Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.54Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.55Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.54Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.54Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.54Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.54Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.55Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.55Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$22.1K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jul 4, 03:20 UTC → Jul 4, 04:11 UTC
- BUYWimbledon WTA: Emma Navarro vs Marta Kostyuk$10.1K@44¢Jul 4, 04:11 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$10.1K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
$11.9K · 54% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $5.9K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 03:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.