UnclassifiedExpires Mar 31, 2026

Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?

Probability

13¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+2.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$15.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

-8.5pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 10:00Apr 27, 2026, 08:58
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Up 2pp over 24h

    Now 13¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $15.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 3

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Price movement

+2.0pp over the last 24h, now 13¢.

Biggest hourly move: -9.0pp at 1d ago (to 11¢).

Show top 8 of 21 hourly moves
  • 02:00 · -9.0pp → 11¢
  • 21:00 · -9.0pp → 11¢
  • 18:00 · -9.0pp → 11¢
  • 14:00 · -9.0pp → 11¢
  • 11:00 · -9.0pp → 11¢
  • 09:00 · -9.0pp → 11¢
  • 1d ago · -9.0pp → 11¢
  • 1d ago · -9.0pp → 11¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

7
Same eventTim Walz charged by...?
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Governor Tim Walz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Mar 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Official government information
Type
Official government source
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket