Profuse-Mole
0x19a5290f2870436c7b13bf0fb39a8ec0e24484bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.7K
Realised
$13.4K
Win rate
20%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
154849 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-4.5K
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
27592 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-8.6K
- YES
Iran military response by Monday?
14424 shares @ 57.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2024$0.00
$-8.3K
- YES
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5000 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-275.00
- YES
Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5000 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-275.00
- YES
Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5000 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-275.00
- YES
Will AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5000 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-275.00
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5000 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-275.00
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5000 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-275.00
- YES
Iran military response before October?
4899 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.9K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$1.84Apr 7, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$185.54Apr 7, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$187.38Apr 7, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$132.83Apr 7, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$33.34Apr 6, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$75.24Apr 6, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 6?$91.00Apr 6, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$104.40Apr 6, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 6?$42.00Apr 6, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 6?$197.59Apr 6, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$250.44Apr 6, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$333.37Apr 5, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$210.00Apr 3, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$471.84Apr 3, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$52.62Apr 3, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$6.09Apr 3, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$117.88Apr 3, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$0.17Mar 31, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Mar 26, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$4.98Mar 24, 04:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $99.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 20:57 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 21:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.