Crafty-Scaffold-Harvest
0x19c3e66b9f013c5e88782939ba4165cbe5a07277
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$187.94
Total PnL
$0.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
52 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$51.40
$0.75
- NO
Will Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
53 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$50.59
$0.24
- NO
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
51 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$50.16
$-0.08
- YES
Will AJ Brown be traded?
30 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$29.32
$0.01
- NO
Will National Dialogue Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
7 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.47
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Brown be traded?$29.30May 18, 11:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$50.35May 14, 00:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill National Dialogue Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$6.47May 12, 13:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$50.23May 11, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$40.19May 11, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$9.89May 11, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?$50.40May 11, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$50.65May 11, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$21.93May 10, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$48.54May 10, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$1.44May 10, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?$30.94May 9, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?$5.00May 9, 10:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $27.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 10:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".