Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-16.6pp
24h Vol
$49.73
Liquidity
$5.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 17pp over 24h
Now 1¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6016h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $5.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6016.1h
- 12:53SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6016h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 16¢
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.3pp
to 19¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 7¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.1pp
to 12¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.4pp
to 17¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.8pp
to 16¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.8pp
to 16¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.2pp
to 19¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.4pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 18¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).