Actual-Jaguar
0x19db1372becbe7d982a27cefc1d9b765b63d7636
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$58.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
147 shares @ 40.4¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$112.58
$53.15
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
239 shares @ 14.7¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$89.50
$54.42
- NO
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
70 shares @ 39.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$58.45
$31.15
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
139 shares @ 35.5¢·now 34.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$47.98
$-1.40
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$35.00
$5.00
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 125 billion views by June 30?
40 shares @ 72.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.59
$3.80
- YES
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
360 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.70
$4.50
- NO
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
31 shares @ 81.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.24
$4.24
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
40 shares @ 62.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.00
$4.20
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
30 shares @ 82.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.89
$4.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$7.403h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$14.803h ago
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$16.3015h ago
- TRADEBUY100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?$25.8215h ago
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$24.9421h ago
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$0.8621h ago
- YIELD$0.0021h ago
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$25.911d ago
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?$71.861d ago
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$30.892d ago
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$27.772d ago
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?$25.942d ago
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 11.5m and 12.5m?$53.712d ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$0.002d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $21.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
