Careful-Discretion
0x19fce83672a7c0b700855207111968c5ba9c3fd5
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$31.18
Total PnL
$-214.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
31 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$31.18
$0.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?
42 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-14.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$31.06Mar 14, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?$1.08Mar 14, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?$14.99Feb 4, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.34Jan 6, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.34Jan 6, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?$3.65Jan 2, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?$2.00Jan 1, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?$9.35Jan 1, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Dec 30, 07:34 UTC
- REWARD$3.16Dec 30, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?$14.96Dec 29, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$99.99Dec 29, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$368.06Dec 29, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$25.00Dec 29, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.25Dec 29, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$0.33Dec 29, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.51Dec 29, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$0.75Dec 29, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$5.00Dec 29, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$6.25Dec 29, 14:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $13.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 12:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.