Flamboyant-Subsidiary
0x1a712201233eda0a691dd61d7ff87ea21bac4f0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-9.98
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
15250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-15.25
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
1913 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-34.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
1526 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-32.05
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
1500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
696 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.02
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$7.58May 12, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$3.00Apr 26, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$15.25Apr 24, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$181.06Apr 22, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$457.99Apr 22, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$4.10Apr 17, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$305.96Apr 17, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$188.81Apr 13, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$115.79Apr 13, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$244.00Apr 9, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$243.00Apr 9, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$65.34Apr 8, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$12.61Apr 6, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$10.00Apr 5, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$0.02Apr 5, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$100.00Apr 3, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$100.00Apr 3, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$241.66Apr 3, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$100.00Apr 1, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?$123.46Apr 1, 08:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $116.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 16:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 10:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".