Gray-Auditorium
0x1a750fd0f1533f94fe76fa48bb87ad59da333103
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-299.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
1144 shares @ 90.4¢·now 98.4¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$1.1K
$91.30
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
798 shares @ 86.1¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$682.63
$-4.99
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
394 shares @ 92.8¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$380.99
$15.66
- NO
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0042 by December 31, 2026?
264 shares @ 85.7¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$217.96
$-8.46
- YES
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
137 shares @ 59.9¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$128.61
$46.65
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
109 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$105.05
$5.05
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 9.7¢·now 12.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$62.51
$13.83
- YES
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
962 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$17.81
$-30.37
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
591 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-196.95
- NO
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?
230 shares @ 93.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-215.94
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 10, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $207.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.