Plaintive-Neighbour
0x1a788120e4c820268ec04deead84bb15a97bf16c
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$702.08
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-337.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
702 shares @ 64.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$702.08
$252.08
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64
2143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1664 shares @ 42.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-700.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Taylor Swift" during all female town hall?
1419 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104
1119 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?
1094 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-190.47
- KAMALA
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
1068 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-170.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Kamalanomics" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?
428 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
226 shares @ 66.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
Will Trump say "million" 10 or more times during Georgia speech on Oct 15?
91 shares @ 54.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFavorite to win on Polymarket day before election?$20.00Oct 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$150.00Oct 16, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$150.00Oct 16, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?$0.50Oct 16, 02:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?$1.00Oct 16, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?$0.16Oct 16, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?$0.29Oct 16, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?$100.00Oct 16, 02:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "MAGA" or "make America great again" 3 or more times during Georgia speech on Oct 15?$71.82Oct 16, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamalanomics" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?$30.00Oct 16, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?$80.00Oct 16, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Women's sports" during all female town hall?$121.54Oct 16, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?$150.00Oct 16, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "make America great again" 3 or more times during Georgia speech on Oct 15?$50.00Oct 16, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?$100.00Oct 16, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?$100.00Oct 16, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "million" 10 or more times during Georgia speech on Oct 15?$50.00Oct 16, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?$450.00Oct 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFavorite to win on Polymarket day before election?$150.00Oct 16, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$150.00Oct 16, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $119.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 00:27 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 17, 21:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.