Grim-Hydrocarb
0x1a8012622d8a9b79948fa0739256f4d9aeea5a23
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$19.86
Total PnL
$0.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
13 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$12.64
$1.64
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 30.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.00
$-0.99
- YES
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
2 shares @ 45.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$1.00Oct 31, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Oct 31, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Oct 31, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Oct 31, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Oct 31, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Oct 31, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Oct 31, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$10.00Oct 31, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?$1.00Oct 31, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Oct 31, 09:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 09:38 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 31, 10:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".