Honest-Fava
0x1a831935329dba31c9ca27e54d29abd9dc70a9a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$2.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
83695 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.1K
$170.07
- YES
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
163802 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$245.70
$-384.12
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
144 shares @ 62.7¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$85.46
$-4.54
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
532 shares @ 19.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$82.44
$-18.56
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
33735 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$50.60
$-274.36
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
308 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
308 shares @ 39.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$35.38
$-84.61
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
3192 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$23.94
$-76.06
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1890 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$14.17
$-45.82
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
714 shares @ 21.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.64
$-140.36
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.10Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$7.35Jun 12, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$30.00Jun 12, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$60.00Jun 12, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$40.00Jun 12, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$41.55Jun 12, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$20.78Jun 12, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$100.00Jun 12, 10:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.00Jun 3, 14:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $57.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.