0x1a8f752534a1b74a764001f0a225bbf1ef882cd1
0x1a8f752534a1b74a764001f0a225bbf1ef882cd1
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$203.75
Total PnL
$-27.58
Realised
$-0.33
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
41 shares @ 12.3¢·now 20.9¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$8.54
$3.54
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?
8 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$8.25
$3.88
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 54.6¢·now 56.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$7.61
$0.25
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 3?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$7.25
$2.25
- YES
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
29 shares @ 17.4¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.02
$2.02
- YES
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
27 shares @ 18.8¢·now 22.3¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$5.93
$0.93
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 2?
6 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$5.92
$2.84
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 5?
6 shares @ 67.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$5.77
$1.89
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11?
10 shares @ 64.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$5.75
$-0.65
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13?
11 shares @ 58.2¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$5.72
$-0.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$3.79Jun 8, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$4.93Jun 8, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?$4.35Jun 8, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 9?$3.73Jun 8, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 9?$4.86Jun 8, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$3.46Jun 8, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$3.64Jun 8, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?$4.07Jun 8, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10?$2.66Jun 8, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13?$2.84Jun 7, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11?$2.99Jun 7, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10?$2.99Jun 7, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13?$3.51Jun 7, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?$4.97Jun 7, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?$2.63Jun 7, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 9?$4.88Jun 7, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$4.89Jun 7, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 9?$3.81Jun 7, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 9?$3.95Jun 7, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11?$1.38Jun 7, 20:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 16:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 04:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.