Woeful-Consensus
0x1a98d39e2b0cca3222144745f375ba447ed7dce5
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$30.03
Total PnL
$-108.53
Realised
$-0.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
58 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$29.27
$-0.73
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.72
$-1.28
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.04
$-1.96
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
650 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?
193 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?
158 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
98 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-33.32
- YES
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?
87 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.00Nov 11, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?$1.00Nov 11, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?$1.00Nov 11, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$3.00Nov 11, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$2.00Nov 11, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Francis be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$5.00Nov 11, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?$2.00Nov 11, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.00Nov 11, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?$1.00Nov 11, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$30.00Nov 10, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$7.20Nov 10, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$3.00Nov 10, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$40.04Nov 10, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$40.81Nov 10, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$41.00Nov 10, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$33.32Oct 27, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$33.33Oct 27, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by October 31?$6.89Oct 20, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$2.76Oct 20, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$2.20Oct 20, 06:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $11.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 13:30 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 11, 13:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".