Likely-Cheesecake
0x1a99557aa287aa42f662ec57322ab0e462ff336b
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$260.10
Total PnL
$-192.20
Realised
$2.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Florian Wirtz win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1149 shares @ 3.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$37.35
$2.35
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1871 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.01
$-5.99
- YES
Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
225 shares @ 8.9¢·now 8.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$19.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will Vitinha win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
446 shares @ 4.5¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will a player representing Germany be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
262 shares @ 7.6¢·now 7.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$18.20
$-1.80
- YES
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
207 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.61
$3.11
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
203 shares @ 9.1¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.97
$-2.54
- YES
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
48 shares @ 31.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.24
$0.24
- YES
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
313 shares @ 4.8¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
189 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.85
$0.85
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.81Jun 13, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florian Wirtz win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.31Jun 13, 03:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.29Jun 12, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?$15.31Jun 12, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florian Wirtz win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.83Jun 12, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.32Jun 12, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florian Wirtz win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.38Jun 12, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florian Wirtz win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.90Jun 12, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florian Wirtz win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.60Jun 12, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florian Wirtz win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.12Jun 12, 05:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florian Wirtz win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.14Jun 11, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.01Jun 11, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.30Jun 11, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.29Jun 11, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.90Jun 11, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitinha win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.29Jun 11, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.43Jun 11, 10:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $17.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 09:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.