Upset-Change
0x1aac1770065e6c1af8f5648b5961f9b3a4fb8b50
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$11.04
Total PnL
$-163.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
35 shares @ 13.0¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.81
$1.30
- YES
Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
19 shares @ 37.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.54
$-2.46
- YES
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
32 shares @ 31.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.69
$-9.31
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5AM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
1029 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- AUSTRALIA
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
417 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS downs another Iranian drone by February 28?$0.00Mar 3, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMUS downs another Iranian drone by February 28?$25.00Mar 3, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniel Radcliffe say "Milk" or "Ice Cream" 3+ times on Hot Ones?$4.82Feb 19, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Radcliffe say "Milk" or "Ice Cream" 3+ times on Hot Ones?$4.00Feb 18, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?$3.86Feb 18, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: England vs Italy (Game 1)$1.00Feb 16, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Terrorist" or "Terrorism" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)$10.00Feb 16, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?$20.00Feb 15, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Feb 15, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Feb 15, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Feb 15, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Feb 15, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Feb 15, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Feb 15, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Feb 15, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?$27.45Feb 15, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?$0.00Feb 15, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.51Feb 13, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)$1.00Feb 13, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie's appearance at the Fighting Oligarchy rally not air?$5.00Feb 13, 09:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 11:58 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 11:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".