Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
Probability
14¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$3.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
-8.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5991.2h
- 08:46SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5991h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 14¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 14¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 14¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 14¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the name of the person who is named People Magazine's Sexiest Man Alive. If more than one person is named Sexiest Man Alive by People Magazine, this market will resolve in favor of the person whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If no Sexiest Man Alive is announced for 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be People (https://people.com/) or a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (19.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).