Jolly-Opinion
0x1abc5cf68bb456934fc4d6401ed994ea319acc83
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$20.27
Total PnL
$-188.15
Realised
$9.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
49 shares @ 48.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$18.55
$-5.19
- NO
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
688 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$1.72
$-20.77
- NO
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during Wisconsin events?
294 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Greenland" during events with Rutte?
115 shares @ 34.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Epstein" during WHCA Dinner events?
64 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-9.66
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
44 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-16.47
- YES
Will Trump say "Pope" or "Christian" during WHCA Dinner events?
40 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.60
- YES
Will Trump say "First Amendment" during WHCA Dinner events?
39 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-11.60
- NO
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
24 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.75
- YES
Will Trump say "MIT" or "Massachusetts Institute of Technology" during Wisconsin events?
10 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 8?$3.90Jun 8, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 8?$0.49Jun 8, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 8?$3.21Jun 8, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 8?$4.79Jun 8, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 8?$2.81Jun 8, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 8?$1.27Jun 8, 02:53 UTC
- REWARD$1.40Jun 6, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during Wisconsin events?$10.38Jun 5, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MIT" or "Massachusetts Institute of Technology" during Wisconsin events?$4.50Jun 5, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during Wisconsin events?$50.90Jun 4, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$2.33Jun 4, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$2.27Jun 4, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$18.36Jun 4, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$9.93Jun 4, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$1.99Jun 3, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$31.00Jun 2, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$18.00Jun 2, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$54.99Jun 1, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$70.00Jun 1, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$51.10May 26, 03:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $10.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 04:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 03:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.