Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Probability
52¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$156.02
Probability (last 7 days)
-13.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2024h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 59.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 2023.7h
- 16:15SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 2024h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 52¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 52¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 52¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 52¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 52¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 52¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 52¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 52¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 52¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 52¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 52¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 52¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 52¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 52¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 52¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 51¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 51¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 51¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 51¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 51¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 51¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
FIFA has confirmed that the first World Cup halftime show will take place at the FIFA World Cup Final on July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. The show will be produced by Global Citizen. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual performs live and in person at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show on July 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying performance includes any live appearance during the halftime show, including guest appearances, even if the artist does not perform a full set. If this event is cancelled, postponed, or rescheduled beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage of the FIFA World Cup Final halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jul 19, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (59.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).