Elaborate-Substitution
0x1ad2910dd747cdf112dacf59902d917fcfb27084
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$195.79
Total PnL
$-459.64
Realised
$19.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
210 shares @ 47.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.25
$-30.45
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
690 shares @ 14.0¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$66.58
$-30.02
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1071 shares @ 4.2¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$51.96
$6.97
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
100 shares @ 10.8¢·now 6.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.40
$-4.40
- YES
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
100 shares @ 16.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.10
$-13.90
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
51 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.49
$-19.51
- YES
War Powers resolution passes the Senate?
1000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?
300 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-11.70
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?
252 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-51.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$9.80Jun 13, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$5.17Jun 13, 14:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$46.29May 31, 07:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $52.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.