Queasy-Anxiety
0x1ad45761dd6bb4ec504d32552f5e4a7775446a88
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$3.50
Total PnL
$-11.27
Realised
$-1.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
78 shares @ 5.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.40
$-2.60
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.08
$-0.92
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 494 million subscribers by June 30?
184 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 497 million subscribers by June 30?
151 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?
15 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will "System" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.00Jun 19, 05:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.00Jun 19, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$3.00Jun 16, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$3.23Jun 16, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00Jun 15, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 14, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 14, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$1.03Jun 14, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$1.00Jun 14, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 13, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 13, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$0.95Jun 7, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$1.04Jun 7, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?$1.05Jun 2, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$1.00Jun 2, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$3.93Jun 2, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "System" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?$1.02Jun 2, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$1.00Jun 2, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$1.00Jun 2, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$1.00Jun 2, 15:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 02:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 05:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.