Surprised-Grouse
0x1ae38dee1baf953b9877e4d768019318eb302d7d
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$66.46
Total PnL
$34.92
Realised
$175.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.63
$0.63
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
24 shares @ 84.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.93
$-1.07
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$12.08
$2.08
- NO
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
10 shares @ 95.7¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.13
$0.13
- NO
Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.70
$-0.30
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
1001 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-23.00
- NO
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?
88 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- NO
US government shutdown in 2025?
66 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?
33 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChatGPT Outage by April 10?$1.0019d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?$5.0024d ago
- TRADEBUYEpstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?$10.0024d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.0024d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$14.0824d ago
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$6.2327d ago
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$11.1139d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$10.0045d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$5.0049d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$5.0049d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$20.0059d ago
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$20.0060d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$20.0083d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$3.00143d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$10.00144d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$10.00144d ago
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$225.42151d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$50.00163d ago
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash in 2025?$2.79163d ago
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$28.36163d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $17.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 327d ago
- Last active
- 19d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.