Cold-Mind
0x1b4d567dd3e9559c51708ae286acfc0e4b9cc84e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$23.36
Total PnL
$-4.23
Realised
$0.50
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of July 27 2026?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.60
$1.60
- NO
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
4 shares @ 47.5¢·now 60.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.53
$0.53
- NO
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?
2 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$2.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?
2 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
31 shares @ 19.3¢·now 4.6¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.43
$-4.57
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 9.0¢·now 24.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.38
$0.88
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
1 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.4¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of July 27 2026?$1.03Jul 28, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?$0.08Jul 28, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of July 27 2026?$1.03Jul 28, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in July?$0.23Jul 27, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in July?$0.07Jul 27, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 27?$1.00Jul 27, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 27?$1.00Jul 27, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?$0.08Jul 27, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in July?$0.15Jul 27, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?$0.56Jul 27, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of July 27 2026?$0.95Jul 27, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of July 27 2026?$1.03Jul 27, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?$0.34Jul 27, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?$1.03Jul 27, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in July?$1.04Jul 27, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?$1.03Jul 27, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in July?$1.04Jul 27, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France?$1.00Jul 26, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on July 26?$0.99Jul 26, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on July 26?$1.00Jul 26, 11:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 12:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.