Apt-Sheep
0x1b4f2729717c43e8acb67e32b87b7b74166a33a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$14.27
Total PnL
$-42.44
Realised
$0.81
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 17 above $5.50?
8 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$7.91
$-0.02
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.25
$0.21
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.11
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on December 16?
3150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.15
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 12?
1080 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.48
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 28?
1072 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.57
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on February 4?
1071 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 27?
1070 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on April 9?
1069 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.38
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 9?
1069 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 17 above $5.50?$7.93Aug 19, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 Week of August 3 2026?$7.75Aug 7, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 Week of August 3 2026?$7.73Aug 7, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of July 27 2026?$8.45Jul 31, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of July 27 2026?$8.43Jul 29, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?$7.52Jul 24, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?$7.50Jul 18, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 6 2026?$7.50Jul 18, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 6 2026?$7.48Jul 9, 01:28 UTC
- REWARD$0.47Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 23?$2.11May 23, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 15?$3.17May 15, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 8?$3.18May 8, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on April 30?$2.12Apr 30, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 28?$1.1KApr 29, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 28?$1.1KApr 28, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,250 on April 26?$1.1KApr 28, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,250 on April 26?$1.1KApr 27, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?$1.1KApr 27, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?$1.1KApr 26, 06:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $203.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 12:05 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 03:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.