CryptoExpires Apr 27, 2026

Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on April 26?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-50.0pp

24h Vol

$39.5K

Liquidity

$260.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 05:00Apr 27, 2026, 05:15
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  • 1

    Down 50pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $39.5k traded against $260.3k of visible liquidity (0.15× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  • 3

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 4

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

  • 5

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 05:15Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 04:00Resolve

    Market resolved 1h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

-45.5pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 27, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
Binance spot pair
Type
Exchange price
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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