0x1b5f30b9a2764b1465168b661066ada341390ecd
0x1b5f30b9a2764b1465168b661066ada341390ecd
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$33.93
Total PnL
$-572.51
Realised
$-286.47
Win rate
7%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
25 shares @ 43.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.88
$-0.88
- YES
Will Iliman Ndiaye score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25 shares @ 32.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.75
$0.75
- YES
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 1.5% and 3%?
30 shares @ 20.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$4.95
$-1.05
- YES
3Jane FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.28
$-6.79
- NO
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
11 shares @ 23.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$1.76
$-0.77
- YES
Will Ethan Agarwal advance from the CA-17 primary?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.57
$-0.43
- NO
Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 18.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.32
- YES
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
9 shares @ 9.3¢·now 9.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.87
$0.02
- YES
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$0.73
$-0.17
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 38.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.68
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iliman Ndiaye score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.00Jun 2, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$0.85Jun 2, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 1.5% and 3%?$1.50Jun 2, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 1.5% and 3%?$4.50Jun 2, 05:43 UTC
- REWARD$0.26Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?$1.47Jun 2, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?$1.55Jun 2, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$0.00Jun 2, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$0.00Jun 2, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.00Jun 2, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$0.00Jun 2, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$0.00Jun 2, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?$0.00Jun 2, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.00Jun 2, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$0.00Jun 2, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?$0.00Jun 2, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Porto win on 2026-05-02?$0.00Jun 2, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?$0.00Jun 2, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$0.00Jun 2, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?$0.00Jun 2, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $9.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 20:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 13:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".