Indolent-Region
0x1b6d0687f669b2f1be72bc1ee15d4f169d4b8688
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$54.10
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-66.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
115 shares @ 37.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$29.90
$-12.65
- YES
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
220 shares @ 18.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$24.20
$-15.35
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
8452 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-99.99
- NO
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
5482 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-121.00
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
3153 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-683.59
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
2041 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
1923 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
1250 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
1064 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Extended launch a token by March 31 2026?
911 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-81.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21.66Jul 19, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.12Jul 19, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28.05Jul 19, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$210.00Dec 29, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$420.00Dec 29, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Extended launch a token by March 31 2026?$81.98Dec 8, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$53.59Dec 8, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$42.55Dec 8, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $800M one day after launch?$19.00Dec 8, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $800M one day after launch?$2.70Dec 8, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $800M one day after launch?$17.85Dec 8, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$12.30Nov 21, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$3.00Nov 21, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$50.00Oct 29, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$21.00Oct 29, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$3.1KOct 29, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$2.9KOct 29, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$300.00Oct 29, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$100.00Oct 29, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$933.89Oct 3, 20:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $365.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 12:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 18:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.