Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Probability
9¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$346.45
Liquidity
$22.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6014h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $22.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6013.9h
- 15:05SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6014h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 9¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 9¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 9¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
12- 2¢0.0pp
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 23¢+0.5pp
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $130.32
- 8¢0.0pp
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $15.00
- 2¢+0.1pp
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 41¢-0.5pp
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $324.00
- 67¢+1.0pp
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $57.38
- 52¢-8.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $3.6M
- 2¢-0.5pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 50¢-8.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.3M
- 0¢-35.4pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 92¢+27.0pp
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $949.8K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- Pertinent-Concert37.9K
- 0x51a4…02d619.2K
- Queasy-Puddle3.2K
- Innocent-Bangle2.9K
- Brown-Mom2.9K
- Icy-Conviction16.9K
- Uneven-Morning15.7K
- Different-Gondola14.8K
- Novel-Licorice8.6K
- Rural-Assist3.5K