0x1b9edf96378bb8e50b7b9ad6b8b39dfecaf16a30
0x1b9edf96378bb8e50b7b9ad6b8b39dfecaf16a30
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$35.39
Total PnL
$-88.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.04
$6.04
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.37
$4.37
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
45 shares @ 66.0¢·now 8.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.73
$-26.27
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.25
$-3.75
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
183 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
95 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.64
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
88 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will any Democratic Senator vote to confirm RFK Jr?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump and Taylor Swift shake hands at Super Bowl LIX?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?$10.00Apr 5, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.00Jan 16, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$2.00Jan 16, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.00Jan 16, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$7.00Jan 16, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$20.00Jan 16, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$10.00Jan 16, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$10.00Jan 16, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$58.82Jan 16, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$50.00Nov 18, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Moon" during Saudi PM events on November 18?$2.00Nov 18, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$68.60Nov 18, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$50.13Oct 28, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$5.00Sep 17, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$10.00Sep 17, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Pope be from Europe?$4.00Feb 25, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Pope be from South America?$1.00Feb 25, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?$8.62Feb 25, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Wicked' win 1 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?$1.00Feb 21, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tax" 10 or more times during his Feb 20 Republican Governors Association appearance?$1.00Feb 21, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $8.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 21:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 15:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".