Confused-Van
0x1ba1b4a40059321976f512c7030ca718c6d62b14
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.10
Total PnL
$-10.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 29?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?
8 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Silver (SI) Up or Down on December 31?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Gold (GC) Up or Down on January 6?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Nancy Pelosi Index Up or Down: Week of January 5
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- 100K
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$1.56Mar 14, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$1.00Feb 6, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 29?$2.00Jan 29, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on January 27?$1.35Jan 28, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 27?$1.00Jan 27, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$1.00Jan 26, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?$1.00Jan 26, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.10Jan 26, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy$1.06Jan 26, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?$0.02Jan 26, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.04Jan 26, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.15Jan 26, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 26?$2.00Jan 26, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 19, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy$1.00Jan 19, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 19, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?$1.15Jan 12, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNancy Pelosi Index Up or Down: Week of January 5$1.00Jan 6, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 6, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?$1.00Jan 6, 07:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $0.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 06:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 01:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.